OpLot uses public information and early-stage analysis to uncover development potential. A property-specific review is the next step.
1Public data
2OpLot analysis
3Development vision
4Feasibility review
5Due diligence / project team
6Development decision
Sources, assumptions & important information
OpLot provides preliminary opportunity analysis for early-stage exploration. Property, zoning, development, market and financial information should be independently verified before making investment or development decisions.
Unless otherwise identified, analysis graphics, development diagrams, massing studies and development illustrations presented within OpLot property analyses are created by OpLot using publicly available information, supplied information and preliminary site analysis.
Program and massing explore the supplied MU-2 site study. Survey, construction type, parking, rents and the entitlement path inform the next-stage review. The opportunity score represents development potential, not an investment return.
Graphics are OpLot studies; existing property photos and listing information retain their original provenance.
Financial assumptions and calculation method
Opportunity planning programs: A tests 375 apartments plus 15,000 SF retail; B tests 225 hotel rooms plus 8,000 SF separately leased retail; C tests 175 apartments, 175 hotel rooms and 15,000 SF retail. These financial tests do not revise the concept drawings or establish approved capacity.
Planning Land Basis - not broker asking price: $7M in each case. Actual acquisition terms are unknown. No assessed value, incentive or subsidy is used as purchase price.
Apartments average 700 net SF. Residential and leased retail net area divided by 86% efficiency gives non-hotel gross area. Hotels use 950 gross SF/room including hotel-operated dining, meeting space and support. Parking is separate. Building rates are $335/GSF for A and $340/GSF for B/C; scope assumes all-in building works and hotel fit-out/FF&E, subject to contractor and operator validation.
Structured/shared parking tests: A 263 spaces (0.70/unit), B 150 spaces and C 220 shared spaces, each at $32,500. Site/waterfront works allowance is $4M. Soft costs 10% and contingency 5% apply to hard/site/parking costs. Carry 5% applies to all pre-carry uses. These allowances require scope, financing and entitlement review.
Apartments use $3,100/month, 4% vacancy and 32% expenses; leased retail uses $35/SF/year and the same vacancy/expense allowances. Residential cap is 5.25%; retail cap is 6%. No other residential income is included.
Hotel upside test: $240 ADR, 75% occupancy, F&B 45% and meeting/events 15% of room revenue. Events exclude catering already counted in F&B; separately leased retail is excluded from hotel revenue. Operating/fixed expenses including franchise costs are 58%, management 3% and reserves 4% of total hotel revenue, leaving 35% NOI. This strong full-service trading mix and 6.5% hotel cap are unverified opportunity assumptions requiring an operator study, not market evidence or a valuation.
Mixed-use value sums each component NOI divided by its own cap. Effective cap = total NOI / summed value; blended development spread = yield on cost minus effective cap. No residential cap is applied to hotel income.
Value creation = value less cost; development ROI = value creation / cost; yield = NOI / cost. Sensitivity uses actual recalculated outputs, including negative downside results. Headline results are never targets inserted into formulas.
Unlevered project IRR uses land at month zero, monthly development draws, 50%-100% ramped NOI and terminal value less 2% disposition costs. A uses 36 + 12 months, B 36 + 18, C 42 + 18. Carry is counted once; 60% debt is a funding illustration only. These schedules calculate lower IRRs than the requested 14%-18% targets; no leverage or compressed schedule is used to imply otherwise.